Topias Leinonen – 2022 NHL Draft Prospect Profile

Topias Leinonen

2021-22 Team: JYP U-20 (U-20 SM-Sarja)
Date of Birth: Jan 25, 2004
Place of Birth: Jyväskylä, Finland
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 216 pounds
Catches: Left
Position: Goaltender
NHL Draft Eligibility: 2022 first-year eligible

Rankings

• NHL Central Scouting Final Rankings: 1st (among EU goalies)
• TSN/Craig Button’s Post-Lottery Rankings: 75th
• FC Hockey: 76th
• Forbes’ March Rankings: 88th
• Recruit Scouting: 96th
• Baracchini’s May Rankings: 112th

Born in Jyväskylä, Finland, Topias Leinonen played hockey for Ilves in his youth before joining his hometown team, the JYP U-16 program. He was considered a top goaltending prospect from a young age, and although he has played mostly for the JYP U-20’s this season, he got into four Liiga games as well. Even though his 5.02 goals-against average and .825 save percentage in the professional ranks leave a lot to be desired, we can give him the benefit of the doubt due to the small sample size.

Speaking of size, Leinonen has the size that NHL general managers drool over. He’s 6-foot-5, weighs 216 pounds, and could fill out even more by the time he reaches the NHL. He’s not just big in size, he also plays big. He seals the bottom of the net easily, and has the length to close up angles to the top part of the net with his arms and hands. He’s hard to beat cleanly with a shot.

His next biggest asset is his athleticism and quickness. He might not move as smoothly as some scouts would like, but his feet and hands are quick for his size. He has strong edgework, which goes hand-in-hand with his cross-crease explosiveness. It’s easy to see a potential comparison to longtime Nashville Predator Pekka Rinne, who was also 6-foot-5 and one pound heavier at 217 pounds. Rinne was not the most elegant goalie in the league, regularly sprawling and swimming in the net. But like Rinne, Leinonen finds a way to make the save, is surprisingly explosive for his size, and stops at nothing to get in the way of rebounds, too.

While these issues can be problematic at the next level, Leinonen is still a very raw talent with tremendous upside, and should be able to improve his poise and rebound control through his professional development.

Topias Leinonen – NHL Draft Projection

With no truly elite goalies in the draft, and his current NHL Central Scouting ranking, he could be the first goalie picked in 2022. Even if he isn’t one of the first goalies picked, he has the size and talent that teams crave and could be picked as early as the late second round, but will most likely land in the mid-third round.

Quotables

“Leinonen is a very well-rounded netminder. He is very tall for his age and takes away big portions of the net very well. Leinonen stands out due to his hockey sense and athleticism, and he is really hard to beat with a clean shot. Leinonen also has very good puck-handling skills behind the net and he isn’t afraid to use them.” – Lassi Alanen, Finn Prospects

“Topias Leinonen is young, but a goalie with raw talent and loads of potential long-term… He possesses strong edge work, and moves laterally pretty well for his size… Leninonen shows good depth control, as he works to get to the top of the crease, while understanding when to play a little deeper during specific situations presented in front of him. He shows flashes of athleticism, but plays more of a positional, blocking style.” – Frank Longo, Recruit Scouting

“The top-ranked goalie in Europe for NHL Central Scouting. The obvious is his stature, 6-foot-5, 207 pounds. He’s a big body goalie who takes up the net. His play in the tournament was mostly solid. He is at his best in a structured format. When his team plays lost in their zone he tends to follow suit and kicks pucks back out into scoring areas or allows a goal he would like to have back. The kid has all the tools, but he will need time. He could be the first goalie off the board in Montreal. A team with multiple picks in the second round could roll the dice.” – Jason Bukala, Sportsnet

Strengths

• NHL-ready size
• Innate positioning and aggressiveness
• Elite quickness
• Natural confidence
• Ice awareness and puck-handling

Under Construction – Improvements to Make

• Rebound control
• Poise

NHL Potential

With NHL-ready size and quickness, he has the tools to be an elite goalie in the NHL. It will take time for him to reach his potential, but he could end up being one of those goalies that everyone forgets about after he’s drafted and then he shows up five years later in elite form. However, he will most likely end up in a time-share role, rather than as a true starter. His career could end up being similar to Thomas Greiss‘.

Risk/Reward Analysis

Risk – 3/5, Reward – 3/5

Topias Leinonen Statistics

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